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Financial independence · FIRE travel

Geographic Arbitrage Explained

Earning or drawing down in a strong currency and living where costs are a third of home: the mechanics, the real numbers from our database, and the costs that do not arbitrage.

Photo: Christophe95 · CC BY-SA 4.0

Geographic arbitrage is the simplest idea in FIRE travel: income and assets denominated in a high-cost economy, spending in a low-cost one. A portfolio that supports a thin life in San Francisco or London supports a comfortable one in Chiang Mai, Oaxaca, Tbilisi or Da Nang. The idea is old (retirees have moved to cheaper places for a century); what is new is remote income and the visa routes that make it legal.

The size of the gap

Our comfortable-tier monthly estimates (one-bedroom rent plus the non-accommodation daily figure for a month) illustrate it: roughly $3,300 in Chiang Mai, $3,900 in Oaxaca, $4,300 in Tbilisi and Medellín, $5,700 in Lisbon, $7,000 in Barcelona, $9,000 in Tokyo. The same comfort in a major US or UK city costs well above the top of that range. The table on this page (generated live from the database) shows how many months a year a $36,000 budget covers in each destination.

What arbitrages

Rent (the largest line everywhere), food, domestic help, local transport, dentistry and routine medical care, gym memberships, restaurants. The gap is widest on labour-intensive services and narrowest on imported goods.

What does not

Flights home, electronics, international schools, imported wine and cheese, cars, international health insurance, and anything priced in dollars or euros regardless of where you stand. A FIRE traveller who flies home four times a year and insures internationally can erase a third of the arbitrage.

Tourist entries are for tourism; several countries now offer explicit routes for this profile: Portugal's D7 and Spain's non-lucrative visas for passive income, Malaysia's MM2H, Thailand's retirement and long-term resident visas, Mexico's Temporary Resident visa with income or savings thresholds, Colombia's pension visa, Georgia's year-long visa-free stay. Each has an income floor, a tax consequence and a last-verified date in the Visa & Work Finder.

The ethics and the local effect

Arbitrage pushes up rents in the neighbourhoods foreigners favour (Lisbon, Mexico City's Roma and Condesa, Canggu and Chiang Mai's Nimman all show it). Renting outside the expat core, paying local prices without haggling for sport, and staying long enough to contribute are the decent responses; several cities are also tightening short-term rental rules in response.

Currency: the arbitrage can reverse

A 15 percent move in the exchange rate is a 15 percent pay cut in local terms. Our exchange-rate feed (daily, indicative, delayed) shows the drift; holding a year of local-currency spending and spreading life across two or three currency zones are the standard mitigations.

Run the numbers for your own portfolio in the calculator; the destination comparison at the bottom uses the same estimates as this page.

Apa $36,000 per tahun mencukupi, berdasarkan destinasi

DestinasiBiaya bulanan (nyaman)Bulan tercakup per tahun
Pai$2,35615.3
Kathmandu$2,41714.9
Luang Prabang$2,77113.0
Siem Reap$2,78212.9
Da Nang$2,82112.8
Chiang Mai$2,88212.5
Hoi An$2,88212.5
Hanoi$2,93212.3
Tirana$2,95212.2
Tbilisi$3,05211.8
Kuala Lumpur$3,06211.8
Ho Chi Minh City$3,18411.3
Antigua Guatemala$3,21411.2
Oaxaca$3,32510.8

Langsung dari basis data destinasi: estimasi sewa satu kamar tidur ditambah estimasi harian di luar akomodasi x 30,4 pada tingkat nyaman, tertanggal per destinasi. Penerbangan dan asuransi tidak termasuk. Hitung angkamu sendiri di Kalkulator Perjalanan Kebebasan Finansial.

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